Sunday, 9 May 2010

When are my goals scored?

I had a quick look for my Golden Retrievers team in Voller.

When do I score goals, and when do I concede. The clips tab in FML where I got the info from only dates back two weeks, but here are the numbers I found:

Scored goals:
1'-15': 14 (16%)
16'-30': 19 (23%)
31'-45': 12 (14%)
46'-60': 15 (18%)
61'-75': 8 (9%)
76'-90': 16 (19%)

Conceded goals:
1'-15': 3 (10%)
16'-30': 6 (21%)
31'-45': 8 (28%)
46'-60': 6 (21%)
61'-75': 3 (10%)
76'-90': 3 (10%)

I'm not sure how much information I can read into this, except that it seems like I play my best in the first 15 and last 15 of each match.

The most interesting information is that 60% of all my goals scored within the last 15 minutes are actually scored from the 88th minute or later. Even though that almost makes sense if each match includes 4 minutes injury time.

No idea why the results are like this, but I'll note that I *never* sub players unless they get injured. And I've played most of my games without using match plans, so I think it could come down to higher stamina for my players when looking at goals scored by the end of my matches.

Or it could just all be totally random! :)

The secret sauce of GKs

Fact is. I don't think too many people visit this blog. So I'll give you the secret GK sauce to whoever reads this stuff!

The data samples come from two different GWs. I've probably analysed stats for more than 800 GKs in each of the GWs.

The results are the same for both GWs.

This is where you want to say that my numbers are wrong, or that this just doesn't make sense. But the numbers are right. Still, I'll admit. It doesn't really make sense.

The most important attribute for not conceding goals for a GK is Acceleration.

Yes, I'll repeat that.

The most important attribute for not conceding goals for a GK is Acceleration.

I have no idea why. But then again, I just crunch the numbers and act from there. Someone else can probably tell me why Acceleration is so important for GKs.

Here is the full list from my research for attributes for GKs for not conceding goals.

 
If someone can tell me why Acceleration is on top, please let me know..

Saturday, 8 May 2010

Patrik Christensson

My newest striker. Identified as 3rd highest GpM player in Voller.

14 goals in 14 matches for me. Got him for £750k.

The other guy caused a bit of disturbance in the forums, so I thought it was better to play him as DR which is his natural position.  :)

On another note, I actually expect my team to be a bit better than it is. I'm ranked 80th-ish in the GW, not too bad for being a lower league team. Still, I've only got 4 players on the team now that isn't top 30 in their position, so I do expect more from my team!

Time will tell. It's hard to assemble a good squad with the limited resources available from not playing in the upper league. I still think the gap is too large depending on which league teams ended up in from season 1, but there is nothing to do except to look forward. At least my GpM indicator doesn't seem too far off.. :)

Wednesday, 5 May 2010

Peak of attributes..

Low activity in the blogosphere today so thought I'd post whatever (un)interesting stuff I have been up to since last time.

Here is a dump of average attributes for different age groups from the three GWs I've indexed.
Ignore the actual numbers (they include zeros and stuff), but take a look at the deltas and when the attributes peak.

Not much more to say really. At least you can get an idea of when and how attributes increase for youth. The data set is representative enough I guess, but remember that I've indexed players based on attributes. For instance, I've sorted players on jumping with filter u18, and this is probably why jumping has a higher average for younger players.

Sunday, 2 May 2010

My newest signing..

GW Voller: Matias Perez - D/M R plays as FCC - £22k wages - 12 goals in 11 matches

He scored 4th highest on my GpM test. Just imagine what his wage would have been if he had been a natural striker!

Conundrum of the day..

If Jumping is the most important attribute for not conceding goals, why is it that Jumping is not the most important attribute for scoring goals?

Saturday, 1 May 2010

The times catched up on me!

I'll let you know why I will never become number 1 in any GW.

The reason?
I'm too old. Aged 29!

If I'd been playing this game 10 years ago, I know I would have been all over the market place. I would have pestered people, chatting in the lobby, making myself a name in the GW, always looking for good buys, selling crap players expensively and generally strike good deals all day long.

Nowadays, I can't be bothered. If I want to sell a player, I'll put him up in auction for a reasonable price, and he is picked up within a couple of days. If I want to buy a player, I'll submit a couple of over-the-top offers and hope someone will accept at least one of them.

So that leaves me in a position just outside the very best of managers. I know I make mostly correct decisions in the game and that strategically speaking, I'm probably one of the best managers out there. But it doesn't add up when I'm not at pair in the transfer market. Add the fact that my tactical knowledge is somewhat limited, the conclusion is that I don't think I'll ever make it to the top spot for an extended period of time.

I feel a bit like a footballer in his last years. Even though I now have a much better understanding of the game and I know how everything will play out, I just don't have the youthful dedication that is needed for the final push towards true glory!